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Working Paper
Rule of law in MozambiqueThis paper examines the state and evolution of the rule of law in Mozambique, focusing on key dimensions such as voice and political participation, judicial independence and accessibility, corruption, access to basic services, personal security, and...
Journal Article
Natural resource revenues and double taxation treaties in developing countries: insights from a network centrality approachThis paper investigates the impact of double taxation treaties (DTTs) on resource revenue mobilization in 91 resource-rich countries from 2000 to 2019. We calculate annual degree centrality indices to measure countries’ integration into the tax...
Working Paper
Raindrop in the drought? Vulnerability to climate shocks and the role of social protection in ZambiaZambia’s reliance on rain-fed agriculture makes its economy and population highly vulnerable to frequent droughts and irregular rainfall. This paper assesses the role of social protection, specifically the Social Cash Transfer (SCT) program, in...
Journal Article
Encouraging micro-enterprises to prepare for disastersWorldwide, enterprises are affected by disasters such as cyclones and floods. Despite these negative impacts, many do not prepare for future disasters. Research on pro-environmental behavior suggests that changing the factors influencing people’s...
Working Paper
Jobs, investments, and exporting: the real effects of electricity crises in South AfricaSouth Africa’s grid remains unstable and characterized by frequent power cuts. Employing a generalized difference-in-difference approach, this paper examines the implications of South Africa’s electricity crises on jobs, capital investment, and...
Working Paper
The gendered effects of climate shocks on labour and welfare in ZambiaThis paper exploits several waves of two major nationwide representative surveys to document the impacts of climate shocks on individuals and households in Zambia. We merge these datasets with historical precipitation and temperature data at the...
Journal Article
Clientelist politics and development – EditorialPart of Journal Special Issue Clientelist Politics and Development
Blog
2025 – No time to waste on debt and development
An increasing number of Global South countries are now diverting growth and development spending to pay off insurmountable levels of external debts...
Working Paper
Carbon pricing and taxationNowadays, all policy makers must engage with direct and indirect carbon pricing issues. However, the implications of different types of tools and methods to price carbon and support decarbonization deserve further attention in view of their...
Working Paper
Work permits for refugees as social protection during polycrisesThis paper studies the social protection of refugees during a pandemic. A pandemic adds to the many existing challenges refugees face, creating a dangerous polycrisis. Drawing on detailed household-level data collected by the United Nations High...
Blog
Is the Paris Agreement dead? Report back from COP29 in Baku
COP29, which just concluded, gathered country delegations, observers, businesses, and NGOs for several rounds of heated negotiations and discussions...
Technical Note
Toolkit for the estimation of tax gaps using a bottom-up approachThis technical note relates to the tax gap toolkit, which includes code (Stata do files) and a README file (how to run the code). The note describes the literature and methodology behind the development of the toolkit. The tax gap toolkit is related...
Working Paper
Economic impacts of electricity supply shortages in South AfricaThis study examines the sectoral impacts of electricity supply shortages in South Africa, using the cost share information available from the 2015 social accounting matrix. A simulation conducted under each of two technological assumptions, Cobb...
Blog
CoP on Gender & Tax Explores Gendered fiscal incidence analysis and tax-benefit microsimulation modelsAt the last meeting of the Community of Practice on Gender and Tax (CoPGT), held on 10th September 2024, the conversation focused on microsimulation...
Working Paper
Is a move up the job ladder an escape from poverty?Using panels of labour force surveys from Ghana, South Africa, Tanzania, Uganda, and India and a recent work status classification, we provide an in-depth analysis of labour mobility up or down the job ladder. This classification allows us to observe...
Blog
Improving tax administration and data access – contributions to the Financing for Development Elements paperThe 4th International Conference on Financing for Development (FfD4) in Seville, Spain, will convene in 2025, providing a global stage for countries...
Working Paper
Distributional impacts of global food price shocks in South AfricaThe world has faced an increasing number of global shocks that have resulted in large and unpredictable changes in global prices, particularly of food. These increases, coupled with the negative impacts of shocks to economic growth, have had damaging...
Working Paper
Can social assistance reduce violent conflict and civil unrest?We assess how one of the largest public works programmes in the world—Ethiopia’s Productive Safety Net Programme (PSNP)—affected violent conflict and civil unrest. Using difference-in-differences methods and linking administrative and geocoded...
Working Paper
The firm-wage gender gap and formal sector churn over the life cycleWe find that women sorting into lower wage firms explains nearly half of the gender wage gap in South Africa, using matched employer-employee panel data covering the universe of formal sector workers. Sorting varies considerably over the life cycle...
Working Paper
Gendered effects of climate and conflict shocks on food security in Sudan and the mitigating role of social protectionClimate change and violent conflict are defining challenges of our time. However, it is not yet understood how they interact in shaping human welfare and food security, how their interaction shapes gendered outcomes, or how social protection systems...